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Three Big Cap Winners in Software

August 17, 2009

By Paul Carton, Director of Research, ChangeWave Alliance

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Corporate Software Spending Continues to Improve But Pace of Recovery Slows

ChangeWave's latest corporate software survey shows business purchasing continues to improve even as the pace of the recovery slows. Simply put, the uptick in spending for the next 90-days is not as pronounced as the rate of improvement we saw in April.

But the good news is that for the third software purchasing survey in a row we're seeing clear improvement — particularly in the Virtualization, Data Storage and Business Intelligence software spaces.

A total of 1,768 respondents involved with software purchasing in their company participated in the July 13-22 ChangeWave survey.

Better than one-in-ten buyers (12%) now say their company will spend more on software over the next 90 days — 1-pt better than in our April survey. While 22% still say they'll spend less — that's a 5-pt improvement over previously and the best reading in 18 months.

ChangeWave corporate software purchasing survey

In another positive, for the second consecutive survey we're seeing an upswing in corporate capital budgets.

A total of 9% say their cap budget has actually increased over the past 90 days — 3-pts better than previously. And just 30% say their cap budget has adjusted lower — 6-pts better than in April and a resounding 16-pt improvement since January.

Software Companies With Most Momentum

At the vendor level, Microsoft (MSFT; +3-pts) shows signs of strength going forward in the corporate software market, almost certainly due to the upcoming October 22 release of its new Windows 7 Operating System. 

A recent ChangeWave Corporate PC survey of 118 corporate Beta testers trying out the new Microsoft OS points to relatively high satisfaction levels for Windows 7. And our positive corporate software results reinforce that Windows 7 could end up providing a major sales boost for Microsoft this fall and increase its prospects for a profitable second half of the year.

Of course, only about 25% of Microsoft's total revenue comes from the Client Division which makes the Windows operating system, but the increased likelihood of a highly successful Windows 7 rollout should be welcomed by the Redmond, Washington behemoth — particularly after the haircut it took in its most recent earnings announcement.

Two other companies showing momentum in our survey going forward are…