Investor Place
logo
Sign up for our FREE Investment Newsletter today!
 
 

 

 

Email Address:

Meet the Expert

Jamie Dlugosch

Jamie Dlugosch is the founder and editor of the top-rated The Rational Investor. He has over 20 years of experience in financial markets including investment banking, equity analysis and research and money management.

More about this Expert

Broker Center

Compare Brokers

Stocks

The Oil Stock Pyramid Scheme

May 28, 2008

By Jamie Dlugosch, Editor, InvestorPlace

Print this page

I’ll never forget receiving my first pyramid scheme letter.

Send $5 to the name at the top of the letter and cross that name off the list.  Write your name at the bottom and send to 10 of your friends. Do this, and riches will surely follow, the letter said.  More specifically, was the promise of thousands of dollars in your pocket just for playing along. The letter was remarkable in its simplicity, and devilish in its promise. The only problem, of course, was that the scam was entirely illegal. Those sending the original letter with their names at the top were the only one’s enriched by the scheme.

Variations of these letters exploded on the American scene during the 1990s and grew exponentially with the advent of the Internet.  With a sucker born every minute, perpetrators of the scam had no trouble finding willing victims. Get rich schemes work because they feed on irrational dreams of the hopeless. Those that are stuck in low paying jobs, unemployed-or simply uneducated, have the same desires as those who have supposedly made it in economically. They want to believe so badly their actions take leave of sense.

In the early 1900s, the stock market had plenty of its own pyramid schemes.  Sellers of companies with no assets or prospects easily preyed on the unsuspecting investor by offering stock that had the potential to grow in value. If a buyer wanted to exit in the early stages of the scam, the ringleader would usually find a buyer willing to step in. When the scheme was really hot, the price of the stock went up, up and up. It was all so perfect until the music stopped.  And stop it did in 1929 with those left literally holding the bag of worthless paper.

Fast-forward to today, and another pyramid scheme is working its scurrilous magic. This time, the action is in the oil pits. There, speculators are chasing after contracts that allow for the delivery of crude at some point in the future. With the convenient use of massive amounts of leverage, traders can take very large positions with very little capital required. Since most of these so-called investors have zero intention of taking delivery on the contract, the hope is that they can find a buyer who will gladly pay higher price down the road.

What is happening in oil stocks today is no more than a pyramid scheme.  And when the music stops, somebody is eventually going to get burned.

Personally, I can’t wait to see it!

Joe Blow goes chasing a dream by participating in the oil futures market.  When there is no buyer to be found for his contract, he will find...