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A Blueprint for Sirius (SIRI) Stock Manipulation?

June 27, 2008

By Jamie Dlugosch, Editor, Investors Insights

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Jamie Dlugosch

Jamie Dlugosch

Jamie Dlugosch is the founder and editor of the top-rated The Rational Investor. He has over 20 years of experience in financial markets including investment banking, equity analysis and research and money management.

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the report offers very little new insight into the valuation of SIRI.  Instead, what we get are overly simplistic observations that have been well-known to the market for some time.

Here's What We Do Know

We know growth is slowing.  We know the company may need capital.  We know about increasing customer acquisition costs, we know that the merger delay hurt the company, and we know that a recession is killing discretionary spending.

None of this stuff is new.

What we don’t know is what this company will look like in the future with its only real competition being a weaker free radio platform.  The play here is not to convince the young to ditch ipods.

Now the play here is content.  It has always been about content and consumer willingness to pay for choices.  SIRI has the content, and that is why they beat XMSR and that is why they will make money down the road.

This nonsense of a conviction sell is nothing but a pure manipulation to make money.  How much money?

Well, if Goldman makes $0.03 per share and they traded 50 million shares last week, they made a cool $1.5 million.

That more than compensates an analyst who did nothing but overstate the obvious.  Unfortunately that is how the game is played on Wall Street.

Nobody cares to pay for insightful comments about how SIRI will make money in the long run with this deal.  Nope, it’s all about pushing a stock lower when you can and making money on the trade.

It is beyond me why anyone follows such tripe.  Oh well, I still have faith in SIRI in the long run and this too shall pass.  Those shorts have to cover at some point.  Maybe they do so when the merger is finally announced.

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