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10 Steps to a Strong 2009

December 23, 2008

By Dan Wiener, Editor, Independent Adviser for Vanguard Investors

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Dan Wiener

Dan Wiener

Daniel P. Wiener is America's leading expert on investing in Vanguard mutual funds and is editor of The Independent Adviser for Vanguard Investors, a monthly newsletter that keeps abreast of recent developments at Vanguard. The Adviser is a five-time winner of the Newsletter Publishers Foundation's Editorial Excellence Award.

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…consider trimming stock funds and adding to your short-term bond or cash positions. I like Short-Term Investment-Grade. That said, don't overdo it. You need to be able to handle some short-term pain if you're going to earn good long-term gains. (See also: "Vanguard's Secret 5 Funds.")

Step #6: Sell your long-term bond funds as well as Inflation-Protected Securities and consider a high-yield fund like High-Yield Corporate.

Junk bonds may have further to fall, but you'll never call the bottom, and this could be a good time to begin building a stake here. Remember, however, the fund has a 1% back-end load in its first year, so if you're not committed to holding on, you might want to consider a high-yield ETF, if you can find a good one.

Step #7: Make sure you aren't overweighting small-cap stocks.

The best values right now appear to be in the large-cap and mid-cap arenas. I'm partial to the PRIMECAP Management team. If you can add to positions in their Vanguard funds, or better yet, can buy shares in their PRIMECAP Odyssey funds, do so. I've added to my personal holdings three or four times already this year. Also, a fund like Dividend Growth gives you exposure to big U.S. companies with strong balance sheets.

Step #8: Turn a skeptical eye toward the new Managed Payout funds that Vanguard is introducing.

Vanguard isn't telling just who's pulling the strings on these actively managed asset allocation funds, and that's just wrong. How are you and I to know whether the "investment committee" that is running these funds has any expertise at all in active asset allocation? Remember, Vanguard's an index shop, and these are not index funds. (See also: "ETFs vs. Index Funds: What You Need to Know Before You Invest.")

Step #9: Don't measure your portfolio performance from its absolute high.

This is the error more investors make than just about any other. If you'd known it was going to be the absolute high on that day you'd have sold out, right? Markets go up and down. Look at how you've done relative to a benchmark like Total Stock Market or, if you're really conservative, Balanced Index. If your long-term performance has been solid, stick with your strategy.

Step #10: Stop and smell the roses.

Subscribers to my Independent Adviser for Vanguard Investors have invested in some of the best actively managed and indexed funds at Vanguard and done well. We've handily outperformed the market and done so with less risk. Having a lousy month or quarter? So what? Investing is a marathon. Leave the sprinting to those hedge funds that seem to be blowing up daily. We're doing just fine.

After the year investors had in 2008, I know it's tempting to just ignore your investments all together. But I'm begging you — please don't bury your head in the sand! The ten steps listed above will help you find your balance and figure out what you should do with your money instead of pretending you don't have a portfolio. 

Lost in the tumult and volatility of the 2008 financial meltdown was the fact that Vanguard made a number of intriguing changes — from the very top of the company to individual fund managers to the addition of new funds — which should put investors like you in a strong position for 2009. Find out what's new at Vanguard and how it can benefit you in Dan Wiener's exclusive new report: "What's in Store for Vanguard Investors." Click here to read your FREE copy online now.