Investor Place

FREE Investing Newsletter

Get the hottest stocks to buy and sell every week.
Investors' Insights

Retirement

Don't Kill the 401(k) Just Yet

June 15, 2009

By Dan Wiener, Editor, Independent Adviser for Vanguard Investors

Meet the Expert
Dan Wiener

Dan Wiener

Daniel P. Wiener is America's leading expert on investing in Vanguard mutual funds and is editor of The Independent Adviser for Vanguard Investors, a monthly newsletter that keeps abreast of recent developments at Vanguard. The Adviser is a five-time winner of the Newsletter Publishers Foundation's Editorial Excellence Award.

More about this Expert

Email This

Not All 401(k)s Became 201(k)s

First, anyone who saw the value of their 401(k) decline by 50% and is upset about their ability to retire down the road was obviously invested too aggressively, or in horrible funds, or both.

401(k) savers who were invested primarily in bonds didn't suffer 50% declines.

Take a look at the chart below.

Vanguard, which acts as record keeper for literally millions of 401(k) participants, says that in 2008…

  • About 21% of 401(k) accounts lost more than 30% of their value.
  • But 36% of participants had no losses at all, and some had gains.
  • The median 401(k) participant that Vanguard tracks lost 14% in 2008.

 

And the reason…

Allocation, for sure, but also the fact that they were continuing to invest new money in their accounts as the market was headed downhill.

Not all 401(k)s became 201(k)s

Plus, I believe there's another issue at work with all the complaints about 401(k)s.

I call it the "high-water mark assumption." Investors have a pretty bad habit of measuring from the top. When your account hits a high, it's assumed that this is money you "had," and as soon as the account drops you have "lost" money.

The fact is that unless you have set a dollar-level goal that matches that high-water mark, and you sell to cash when you hit it, you never really had it to begin with.

Why do investors assume that their accounts will only go up in value? Markets don't work that way; cash does because tiny increments of income are added each month, but it can't keep up with inflation, which is why we invest in stocks and bonds in the first place.

Second, I believe that so long as someone continues to hold down a job and continues to save money in their 401(k) retirement plan, they will, over time, have more money for retirement than they do today.

The 401(k) is a great vehicle for forced savings. It behooves investors to separate the issue of the quality of their 401(k) investments and their own asset allocation within that 401(k) from whether 401(k)s are actually good vehicles for saving for retirement.

How to Win With Mutual Funds
How do some investors double the gains of the average mutual fund investor year in and year out, without taking on extra risk? Dan Wiener's Winning with Mutual Funds shows you how to turn your fund portfolio into a wealth-making machine and avoid the five big mistakes that could set you back for years. Click here to access your free copy now!